Forecast to 2018

In Core Report E, "Global Steel Export Pricing: Forecast to 2018" WSD offers its analysis of world steel export price developments in the past 20 years and a special methodology for forecasting them in the decade ahead. Annual forecasts are presented for these products: steel scrap (obsolete grade and automotive bundles), iron ore (fines and pellets), directly reduced iron, pig iron, billet, slab, hot-rolled band, cold-rolled coil, galvanized coil, cut plate, rebar and wire rod.

The prices for each product are forecast to 2018 under five conditions: boom times, good times, average times, bad times and shakeout times. The prices are forecast, FOB the port of export where applicable for Tier I mills. Average steel prices, based on our year-by-year forecast and weighted-over-the-cycle figures, are compared to average prices in the past 5 years.

Some of the questions that are answered include the following:

• How will the price of each product in the next decade compare to that in the past?
• What are the characteristics of the New Continuum?
• What factors are influencing pricing?
• What “wild cards” might influence world steel export prices in the future?

Core Report E is provided to WSD’s subscribers as part of their regular annual service. The price for non-subscribers is $3,000.